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Working Paper

Welcome to the Future?

Why we confuse optimization with progress

It's 2026. The flying cars never came. The Mars colonies don't exist. The subways we take to work date from the 19th century, while we send cat pictures on our smartphones. The question is: Why have we stopped thinking truly new thoughts?

This paper analyzes why we confuse optimization within existing paradigms with real progress — and why the next era of innovation requires systemic thinking and emergent complexity.

Author Hannes Lehmann / Center for Applied Complexity & Intelligence
Date January 2026
Download English · German (31 Pages)

Optimization ≠ Progress

Why faster chips and bigger models don't create new paradigms

Lock-in & Stagnation

How path dependencies prevent real innovation

Emergent Complexity

Intelligence arises from interaction, not instruction

Systemic Thinking

Patterns over mechanisms, context over content